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Claim: Camarines Sur is the poorest among six provinces in Bicol as of February 5, 2024.
Rating: Missing context
Why we fact-checked this: On October 3, Asintado sa Radyo, a local radio station in Naga City, posted a screenshot of Google’s search results that featured a research study stating that Camarines Sur is the poorest province in Bicol. The post has garnered an estimated 2,100 reactions, 729 comments, and 744 shares as of October 23.
The post’s caption says: “Ayon sa Google ang Camarines Sur ang pinakapoorest province sa 6 na probinsya sa Bicol as of February 5, 2024 na may poverty incidence na 38.7%.”
(According to Google, Camarines Sur is the poorest province out of six provinces in Bicol as of February 5, 2024, with a poverty incidence of 38.7%.)
The facts: The poverty statistics cited by Asintado sa Radyo, which ranked Camarines Sur highest among Bicol provinces in poverty incidence, are outdated and based on 2021 data.
According to more recent poverty data, the province of Sorsogon, not Camarines Sur, is ranked highest among the six Bicol provinces. Poverty incidence among families in Sorsogon is estimated at 28.4%, according to the 2023 Full Year Official Poverty Statistics published by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) on August 15, 2024.
The second highest on the list is Catanduanes, which recorded poverty incidence among families at 23.5%. It was followed by Camarines Sur at 22.4%, Albay at 18.1%, Camarines Norte at 17.7%, and Masbate at 12.9%.
Outdated statistics: Camarines Sur did rank highest in poverty incidence among Bicol provinces as recently as 2021, according to the 2021 Full Year Official Poverty Statistics.
Published by the PSA on August 15, 2022, the 2021 poverty estimates reflected a 29.8% poverty incidence among families in Camarines Sur. It was followed by Sorsogon (21.7%), Masbate (20.2%), Catanduanes (16.8%), Camarines Norte (16.6%), and Albay (15.4%).
This figure (2021 full year estimates) represented an improvement from the first semester poverty statistics for 2021, published on December 17, 2021, which reflected a higher poverty incidence rate of 34.6% for Camarines Sur, the highest in the Bicol region at the time. This was followed by Sorsogon (26.2%), Masbate (24.8%), Camarines Norte (20.9%), Albay (18.18%), and Catanduanes (17.4%).
The 38.8% figure that Asintado cited appears to be the upper limit of the “confidence interval” for the estimated poverty incidence rate in Camarines Sur for the first semester of 2021. The lower limit was at 30.4%.
Wrong source: Asintado inaccurately cites Google as the source of this statistic. The snippet shown in the Google search result is actually from a research study that cited the PSA 2021 poverty statistics.
The study considered metrics for multidimensional poverty for economic development, focusing on datasets, algorithms, and models from the poorest region of Luzon. The poverty incidence data is not a result of the study’s investigation, but was only mentioned as supplemental information to support the background of the study.
The date cited in the caption of Asintado sa Radyo’s post — February 5, 2024 — is the online publication date of the study, not the release date of the poverty statistics. – Rappler.com
This fact check was reviewed by a member of Rappler’s research team and a senior editor. Learn more about Rappler’s fact-checking mentorship program here.
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