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Attributes	Values
rdf:type	schema:ClaimReview
http://data.cimple...lizedReviewRating	not credible
schema:url	http://checkyourfact.com/2024/11/05/fact-check-trump-winning-15-polls/
schema:text	FACT CHECK: No, Trump Is Not Winning By 15% In The Polls A post shared on X claims that former President Donald Trump is winning the polls by 15% against Vice President Kamala Harris. Trump is now leading Harris with 15% in the polls! If he wins, the biggest #Bitcoin bull market ever starts. pic.twitter.com/dmyRuWr0Ew — Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) November 4, 2024 Verdict: False Polymarket is not a polling platform but a betting odds platform. Fact Check: Social media users are claiming that Trump is leading Harris by 15% in the polls. One user wrote, “Trump is now leading Harris with 15% in the polls! If he wins, the biggest #Bitcoin bull market ever starts.” This claim is false. First, Polymarket is not a polling aggregator, it is a betting odds platform. As NBC News reports, “offers bets in sports, business, science, politics and more, reports that users have spent more than $2.7 billion placing bets on the next president.” Shayne Coplan, the CEO of Polymarket, has stated on X that “prediction markets provide the public with a much needed alternative data source.” Polymarket also said in an Oct. 21 blog post that the “key difference between polls and Polymarket is their output: Polls estimate vote share, while prediction markets and election models estimate the odds of a certain outcome.” Actual polling aggregators, such as FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, show the election is in a dead heat. RealClearPolitics, for example, shows that Trump and Harris are tied at 48.5% as of Nov. 4. (RELATED: Did FEMA Hire Illegal Immigrants For Hurricane Relief Efforts) Polymarket has spent tens of thousands of dollars on advertising its election betting on social media platforms such as Facebook, Instagram and X, according to NBC News.
schema:mentions	dbpedia:Shayne_Lamas RealClearPolitics Vice president Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore NBC News Bitcoin Federal Emergency Management Agency Instagram Kamala Harris Social media Chief executive officer Facebook President of the United States Donald Trump Dead heat Sport FiveThirtyEight Market trend dbpedia:Rover_Company
schema:reviewRating	False
schema:author	check-your-fact
schema:datePublished	2024-11-05 (xsd:date)
schema:inLanguage	English
schema:itemReviewed	http://data.cimple.eu/claim/df9d6341512f7a5ab86584d829c648cf2840d03c244e172dada180a4

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